CLIMATE‑IMPACT WITH SWAT+
The Technical University of Munich (TUM) led the hydrological modelling programme, offering participants a deep, practical immersion into SWAT+ and its glacier‑enhanced module, SWAT‑GL.
TUM researchers guided institutions step‑by‑step through building a complete SWAT+ model of the Yassy River, configuring glacier‑melt dynamics, analysing water‑balance components, and executing simulations under projected climate conditions.
Participants learned how to prepare future climate datasets, configure simulation periods, run the SWAT+ engine directly, and analyse climate‑driven hydrological changes through basin‑level water‑balance summaries.
The sessions revealed with scientific clarity how climate change is reshaping the basin: earlier melt peaks, reduced late‑summer flow stability, altered groundwater recharge, and heightened drought exposure. By giving institutions the tools to run independent climate‑impact analyses, TUM effectively democratized hydrological foresight.
ALLOCATION MODELLING WITH WEAP
FutureWater expanded the analytical landscape by training participants in WEAP—the basin’s water‑allocation engine. Through co‑developed model setups linked to SWAT+ outputs, participants explored how irrigation demands, hydropower production, reservoir operations, environmental flows, and climate evolution interact across decades.
FutureWater demonstrated how minor hydrological variations propagate into major cross‑sector tradeoffs when projected to mid‑century and beyond, an insight critical for long‑term drought preparedness and conflict prevention.
THE MIRAX DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM — WHERE EVERYTHING CONVERGES
The final technological pillar came from HAEDES, which guided institutions through the miraX Decision Support System.
Participants accessed scenario dashboards combining:
• real‑time monitoring,
• SWAT+ hydrological outputs,
• WEAP sectoral allocation simulations,
• socio‑economic development pathways, and
• water‑value indicators
miraX allowed ministries and basin authorities to visualize climate futures, quantify tradeoffs, and compare alternative planning strategies—something that previously required fragmented tools, expert mediation, or was simply not possible.
A TURNING POINT FOR REGIONAL WATER SECURITY
The WE-ACT Cooperation Week concluded with a joint reflection led by CAIAG, IWMI, UT, TUM, FutureWater, HAEDES, and Portolan. Institutions affirmed their commitment to maintain the monitoring network, harmonize modelling approaches, and integrate societal values into long‑term allocation planning.
The significance of the week cannot be overstated. For the first time, Central Asian institutions jointly acquired:
• the ability to operate and calibrate advanced hydrological stations,
• the competence to run climate‑impact simulations independently,
• the analytical capacity to test allocation scenarios, and
• a shared decision‑support environment grounded in transparent, multi‑model data.
In a basin where every cubic metre is negotiated, this unified technical foundation marks a historic shift: a move toward evidence‑based diplomacy, climate‑aware planning, and long‑term resilience.
As climate pressures intensify, WE-ACT has delivered what the region needs most: shared tools, shared knowledge, and shared confidence that science, not uncertainty, can shape the future of the Syr Darya basin.